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Best
Practice demanded from Mineral Exploration Companies in 2000
By Mike Raetz
SECTOR: MINERAL EXPLORATION
What Has Changed
The main change demanded by fund managers and company boards in
2000 will be that Mineral Exploration operates more like a business,
which understands its risks, something the oil industry learned
decades ago. Clearly the purging of many major exploration groups
(like RTZ, BHP, WMC, PLACER to mention a few only) is a fair indication
that the margins were not good enough. The market risk money has
also gone elsewhere and 1999 was a 'watershed' in the way Mineral
Exploration groups do business worldwide.
Common themes now are 'Brown Fields Exploration', 'Growth Through
Acquisition', and of course 'Outsourcing' anything that is not 'Core
Business'. More fundamentally some companies may not even wish to
remain owners of mines, rather they may wish to simply become investors.
The entire environment seems to be driven by control over investments
and creating choice (options) for more investment.
The strongest companies will compete to acquire the few good advanced
projects in the world and dominate in the prime mineral belts like
the Atacama in Chile. However, new discoveries will be needed to
sustain the world's mineral trade. Conventional risk assessment
based on 'orebody cloning' will appeal to more conservative investors,
but will not help to find the true 'wildcats'. These methods mainly
provide economic thresholds but few technical solutions. More flexible
and intelligent systems to assess geological risk in mineral discovery
are needed, alongside more innovative business solutions to manage
risk that may not be measured well.
What Has Not Changed
Best practice will demand a clear understanding by explorers and
investors of the risk and rewards that relate to each of the four
principal stages of the 'Exploration Cycle'. These are:
1. Concept development and area selection;
2. Proof of concept;
3. Target definition, and;
4. Target testing.
Best practice is also about maintaining the balance between these
four activities and an energetic turnover of properties because
of the low odds that any given project will succeed. Best practice
recognises that a diversity of skilled people will be needed to
fuel the fight. Of upmost importance will be people that think and
communicate at vastly different scales. In the writers experience
most exploration project geoscientist are trained to think at the
prospect scale, whilst it is apparent that processes which control
the location of giant ore deposits (and consequently the critical
decisions of area selection) relate to a much larger scale. Many
of the best academic (University or Government) regional geologists
are much more used to this scale of work, but these people rarely
'fit' into exploration teams.
The Role of Research
One of the great ironies of the past decade is that despite a large
investment by companies and universities in ore deposit studies
this has had little direct impact on the bottom line of most mining
companies. The biggest impact has come from technique-based research
like the indicator mineral studies that led to the discovery of
diamonds in Canada, or comparable improvements in geophysics. It
is simply not good enough to understand how and why orebodies may
form without the ability to translate that knowledge into where
to look in standard data. The blame rests squarely with the companies
(both as clients and investors) for not ensuring the transfer of
this R&D, and it has been to their loss.
The strategic analysis of integrated continental scale data is the
key to future discovery and therefore crucial to exploring for minerals
in green field areas. The increased availability of regional aeromagnetic
and gravity data sets is perhaps the major advance of the previous
decade.
The analysis of this data in partnership with geoscientists and
mine-finders remains a great opportunity of the next decade.
Summary of Future Challenges
Discovery challenges in future will likely be met by partnerships
between science, explorers for minerals and investors: that is universities
and R&D companies; exploration companies & governments; fund managers
and their advisers.
A premium is likely to attach to leaders in the following service
areas:
- Information about prospects
- New directions
- Global data access
- Interpretation services
- Quality assurance services
- Risk analysis services
- Enabling technologies
- Skilled people and labour hire
- Business solutions
Acknowledgment
Appreciation is expressed for stimulating discussion to many colleagues
and consultants with whom the writer has worked on committees of
the AGCRC, CSIRO, the Chamber of Mines, in BHP and more recently
at Monash.
Michael Raetz is currently a Senior Research Fellow at the Australian
Crustal Research Centre, Monash University in Melbourne Australia,
studying better ways to manage geological risk in mineral exploration.
He is also Director of Global Discovery Pty Ltd and formerly held
the position of Principal Geologist Australian Reconnaissance with
BHP World Minerals Discovery from 1994 to 1999. He may be contacted
by Email: mike@skilledgeosience.com
This article may be biased by the writers understanding of the Australian
scene, therefore others are invited to comment on the relevance
of the views expressed, particularly about other regions of the
world. Please use the Discussion Forum on www.skilledgeoscience.com
or submit a new article for publication to the Editor@skilledgeoscience.com
in the Skilled Journal.
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